Posts Tagged ‘California’

McCain Endorsed by 9 of 11 Top CA Newspapers

February 5, 2008

John McCain won most of the major California newspaper endorsements just as Barack Obama did on the Democratic front.  California newspapers which endorsed McCain (in order of circulation from largest to smallest) were: the Los Angeles Times, the San Francisco Chronicle, the Sacramento Bee, the San Jose Mercury News, the Contra Costa Times, the Riverside Press Enterprise, the Los Angeles Daily News, the Fresno Bee,  and La Opinión.

The San Diego Union Tribune did not endorse any candidates.  While the Orange Country Register did not actually endorse Ron Paul, their editorial about him on January 26 was the most favorable.  In particular, they wrote: “If there is any candidate who in many ways comes closest to the libertarian values to which the Register’s editorial pages are devoted, it is 10-term Texas Republican Rep. Ron Paul.”

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Obama Endorsed by 10 of 11 CA Newspapers

February 5, 2008

An article by Donald Lathbury on The California Majority Report website pointed out that 10 of the largest 11 newspapers in California endorsed* Barack Obama.  The one holdout was the San Diego Union Tribune, which had not yet made an endorsement before Super Tuesday.  No big newspapers in California endorsed Hillary Clinton.

California newspapers which endorsed Obama (in order of circulation from largest to smallest) were: the Los Angeles Times, the San Francisco Chronicle, the Orange County Register, the Sacramento Bee, the San Jose Mercury News, the Contra Costa Times, the Riverside Press Enterprise, the Los Angeles Daily News, the Fresno Bee,  and La Opinión.  The last is the largest Spanish language newspaper in California and could give Obama a boost amongst Latino voters in its home town, Los Angeles.

The Los Angeles Times concluded its endorsement with the following eloquent metaphor: “Clinton is an essay, solid and reasoned; Obama is a poem, lyric and filled with possibility.”

*The Orange County Register did not actually endorse Obama, but did give him a much more favorable assessement than the one it gave Hillary Clinton.

Obama Has Overtaken Clinton in CA Polls

February 3, 2008

Barack Obama is really gaining momentum in the polls, especially in California where some polls now show Obama ahead of Hillary Clinton, although only by 1-4% which might not be statistically significant.  But his gains in the California polls are very impressive considering that polls taken in January had Clinton leading Obama by as much as 17%.

Since different polls use different methodologies and sample sizes, it can be misleading to compare the results of different polls. The clearest trend from a single source listed at realclearpolitics.com is from the Rasmussen Reports which had the following results in their 3 most recent polls:

  • 1/14     Clinton:38%     Obama:33%
  • 1/29     Clinton:43%     Obama:40%
  • 2/2       Clinton:44%     Obama:45%

So, during the past few weeks, the Rasmussen polls show Obama gaining 12% while Clinton has only gained 6%.  This would suggest that former Edwards supporters and undecided voters are breaking 2:1 for Obama. If that trend continued with the rest of the undecided voters, we could see Obama beat Clinton by as much as 52% to 48% amongst California voters who actually vote on Super Tuesday itself (not including those who voted early).

Of course, many factors could change the final numbers including voter turnout, late political ads or news, and the fact that many California Democrats already voted early when Clinton was leading in the polls. But Obama’s climb in the polls in California and other states  is something for Obama supporters to cheer about.