Rush Limbaugh Failed to Get Texas Republicans to Vote for Clinton

Rush Limbaugh urged Texas Republicans to vote for Clinton in yesterday’s primary on recent episodes of his radio show.  He even claimed today that his plan had succeeded.  But what did the Texas exit polls show?  According to CNN, Republicans made up 9% of the voters in the Texas primary.  (66% were Democrats and 25% were Independents.) These Republicans actually favored Obama 53% to 46%, an exact mirror of how Texas Democrats voted.  Note that a total of 2.8 million Texans voted in the Democratic primary while only 1.3 million Texans voted in the Republican primary.  The percentages of voters in the Republican primary were 78% Republican, 21% Independent, and 2% Democrats.

These numbers  indicate that 1,014,000 Republicans voted in the Republican primary while 252,000 Republicans voted in the Democratic primary.  This implies that 20% of the Republicans voted in the Democratic primary in Texas.  But only 46% of these Republicans voted for Clinton; so, at most 9% of Republicans actually followed Rush’s advice to vote for Clinton.  (I say “at most” since some of these might have voted for Clinton anyway.)

So, despite his claims of success with his anti-Obama tactic, Rush failed.  His conservative fans might laugh at his antics, but they either knew it was all a joke and didn’t take it seriously or were just too lazy to get out and actually vote for Clinton.

Note that the composition of the voters in the Ohio Democratic primary was quite similar to the Texas Democratic primary: 69% Democrats, 22% Independents, and 9% Republicans.  The Republicans split their vote 49% to 49% between the two Democrats.   The composition of voters in the Rhode Island Democratic Primary was 64% Democrats,  32% Independents, and 3% Republicans.  The composition of voters in the Vermont Democratic Primary was 55% Democrats, 38% Independents, and 6% Republicans.  So, the percentage of Republicans amongst all voters who voted in the Texas Democratic primary last night was not higher than in the other states.

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5 Responses to “Rush Limbaugh Failed to Get Texas Republicans to Vote for Clinton”

  1. dummidumbwit Says:

    If Rush Limbaugh could read numbers, he wouldn’t be Rush Limbaugh?

  2. VIRINIA GANDY Says:

    IF CLINTON BECOMES PRESIDENT THIS IS ONE AMERICAN THAT WILL BE LEAVING THE COUNTRY BY MOVING TO MEXICO. FOR MY SELF I PERFER MCCAIN AND HE IS WHOM I SHALL VOTE FOR IN NOV. MRS CLINTON NEEDS TO MEND HER LIFE AND DO AS MOST WOMEN — BE A WIFE AND THEH HER HUSBAND WON’T STRAY. I AM A WOMAN AND I DO BELIEVE WOMEN CAN DO LOTS FOR THEIR COUNTRY BUT BEING THE PRESIDENT IS NOT ONE OF THEM
    –VG

  3. Alina Israeli Says:

    Just read what the Wall Street Journal has to say: http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2008/03/06/the-limbaugh-effect-on-clintons-texas-win/?mod=googlenews_wsj Their data is exactly the opposite. It is also stated there “The grassroots group, Republicans for Obama, agrees. “Hillary Clinton owes her political life to Rush Limbaugh,” they wrote on their web site Wednesday.”

  4. rberlind Says:

    I find the methodology of the WSJ article flawed because they compared the Republican vote for Clinton in Texas to the Republican turnout in states that Obama won by much bigger margins than Clinton’s margin of victory in Texas. One would have to compare the way Republicans voted in each state to the way Democrats and Independents voted in each state. But the other annecdotal reports do suggest he might have had more impact than I gave him credit for. I’ll have to review the WSJ article more thoroughly when I have more time.

  5. dummidumbwit Says:

    So keeping ones CENSOERED in his pants is more important than a super hot economy?

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